| Does Russia Matter? By
Paul E. Richardson
Editor and Publisher
Russian Life
In a report on the September 2003 Camp David summit between Vladimir
Putin and George Bush, TV journalist Ray Suarez, on The PBS Newshour,
asked his
guest a question being posed with increasing regularity: “Does Russia
matter?”
The guest’s all-too-obvious reply was, essentially, "Yes, of
course Russia matters, but just not like it used to and only on a certain
range of issues [e.g. nuclear proliferation, combatting terror]."
I hate obvious answers. They're so ... obvious.
The truth is, Russia has never mattered to U.S. policymakers. What has
mattered has been "what damage could Russia do to us," or "what
detente or friendship with Russia can get us." Realpolitik is object
oriented and very utilitarian. Other states or nations matter only insofar
as they either threaten or ensure our military or economic security. So,
since today (versus 20 years ago), Russia threatens us less, it matters
less.
Here's a radical concept: it's not about us.
Russia's significance in the world is huge, and will remain huge. Here
are a dozen or so reasons why:
- Russia occupies more land on Planet Earth than any other
single country. Put another way, Russians have about three times more
land per capita than
Americans. Therefore, what Russia and Russians choose to do with that
land (say, deforest it or protect it — see #5 below) has huge impact
for the
rest of the world.
- "Sure, Russia is huge geographically, but its population is "just" 145
million and falling," you say. "That's just over half the
U.S. population and a fraction of that of India or China." Point
taken. But let's look at this the other way around. How many countries
are
there in the world that have more people in them than Russia? There
must be dozens,
right? Nope. Just six. They are: China, India, the U.S., Indonesia,
Brazil, and Pakistan. Bangladesh and Nigeria are closing fast. But
Russia is 7th
in the world, ranked by population.
- We could also look at this linguistically: Russian is currently
the fifth most widely-spoken language in the world, behind Chinese,
English,
Hindustani, and Spanish. Arabic is 6th and French, that darling of
high school language study, is 10th. Interestingly, of the top five
world
languages, Spanish is the only one other than English that is taught
widely in American
high schools (OK, we could debate whether English is actually taught
in our high schools, but that's a separate editorial). There are also
just
five official languages of the UN: English, French, Chinese, Spanish
... and Russian.
- It is said that, in this century, fresh water will become humankind's
most important resource. Best estimates are that Russia owns about
25% of the world's fresh water (see #1 above), and it is already exporting
it to countries that do not have enough. "When the oil runs out," one
Russian government official recently said, "we will export water."
- Some 70% of Russia is forested and 22% of the world's forests are
in Russia. As such, Russia — which has been called the "lungs of Europe"— is second only to the Amazon in the amount of carbon dioxide it absorbs.
15% of all the carbon dioxide in the world is absorbed here. See #1
above.
- Russia is a scientific powerhouse, as demonstrated again this
fall when a Russian and a Russian-American shared the Nobel Prize in
physics
with
an American, for inventing a little thing they called "super-conductivity." Among
other things, we owe a debt to Russian scientists for the invention
of television, helicopters, and the Periodic Table (OK, maybe just
for the
last two).
- Russia has made immense contributions to world literature. "Oh,
you could say that about any country," you say. Ok, then try this
test on a friend (or yourself). Ask them to "Name three Russian authors." Then,
after that is answered easily with the likes of Tolstoy, Chekhov, Turgenev,
Brodsky, Pushkin, Bunin, Solzhenitsyn, etc., ask: "Now name three
Chinese (or Indian or German or Iraqi) authors."
- Likewise, Russia has had a hugely disproportionate influence on
the world of music. Considering what classical music would be like
without
Tchaikovsky is a bit like thinking about it in the absence of Beethoven
or Bach. But then there is a huge pantheon of other "first-rank" composers,
from Mussorgsky and Liadov to Prokofiev, Rakhmaninov, Shostakovich,
Stravinsky and on and on. And then there are the performers, from Horowitz
to Pletnev,
from Rachmaninov to Lugansky — and those are just the pianists!
- What about art? Well, admittedly, Russia has not made as many contributions
to world culture in this regard, but much of that might be attributable
to politics. In the early 20th century, Russia was a buzzing hub of
the avant garde and its artists were doing amazing things in everything
from
book illustration to sculpture to animation. It could well be argued
that, without the stultifying effects of Socialist Realism (which nonetheless
produced some fine works of art), Russian artists would have been leading
forces in the 20th modern art movements.
- Russia is one of only 5 countries that has veto power at
the UN.
- It was Russia (then in the larger guise of the Soviet Union)
that defeated Hitler.
- Until this October, only two nations had put humans into outer
space: the US and Russia. And Russia has more experience than any other
nation
in long-term space habitation, vital for the next stage of space exploration.
- And now, a dozen reasons later, we get to nuclear weapons. According
to the NRDC, Russia has about 5,200 strategic nuclear warheads and
8,500 stockpiled warheads. That is down considerably from the 12,000
or so strategic
warheads (and 35,000+ stockpiled) of the mid-1980s, but it is still
hugely important (i.e. "it matters"). The US has about 8,600,
with some 10,500 stockpiled.
- 20% of the world's known oil reserves are in Russia. Russia currently
supplies the U.S. with 4% of its oil.
- Western Europe currently depends on Russia for 28% of its gas
supplies; Germany alone depends on Russia for 12% of its natural
gas and 18%
of its oil.
- Russia contains the world's largest oil and natural gas reserves,
the largest diamond reserves, and the second largest coal reserves.
Nearly
a third of all tin and iron ores are in Russia, as are over 40%
of all platinum group minerals and over a third of all nickel
reserves.
This list is certainly not exhaustive, and input is welcomed
for further list items. But it ought to be clear to even
the casual
reader that
Russia matters a lot more to the world than can be adequately
expressed in a concise
soundbite.
Next question?
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